This year’s early admissions cycle delivered a wake-up call for many families. Applications surged again. Admit rates tightened. Strong students were deferred or denied at schools that once felt within reach. At the same time, admissions offices quietly expanded their use of AI-assisted tools to triage the flood of applications. Not to make final decisions, but to sort, flag, and manage extraordinary volume before human readers ever begin their work. When tens of thousands of files arrive at once, systems step in first. That reality matters. 

If you are the parent of a sophomore with aspirations toward selective colleges, it is easy to feel reassured right now. Your child is active. They are on a team, in several clubs, volunteering, maybe even holding a leadership title. On paper, it looks strong. In many ways, it is. But this year’s admissions results at selective universities reinforced something important: activity lists are long everywhere. What is far less common, and far more compelling, is progression. Selective colleges are not counting commitments. They are evaluating development over time. 

If you are the parent of a sophomore in Austin, this year’s UT Austin admissions results should feel personal. Not dramatic. Not alarming. Personal. Because what just happened to this year’s seniors is exactly what your family will face in two short years. Strong students were admitted. Strong students were denied their first-choice major. And in competitive colleges like McCombs, Engineering, and CNS, it became clear that grades and rank alone were not the deciding factors. Preparation was. Alignment was. And for families with current 10th graders, that realization makes this spring far more important than it looks.

This year, some of the most surprised students were not those who were denied by UT. They were the ones who were admitted. Top 5% seniors with strong transcripts, rigorous coursework, and impressive leadership earned admission to The University of Texas at Austin, yet many did not receive their first-choice major. For parents who assumed auto-admit meant security, the results felt confusing and even unsettling. What changed is not the caliber of students. It is where the competition now lives. The real pressure point has shifted inside the university, and understanding that shift is essential for every family watching these results unfold.

If you are the parent of a teenager, there is one number from this year’s admissions cycle that should stop you in your tracks: 65%. That is the share of applicants in the Class of 2030 who submitted at least one early application. Two out of three students are now competing months before regular decision even opens. Early is no longer a strategic side path. It is where much of the class is taking shape. And that reality changes when preparation truly begins.